Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
40.18% ( -0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 34.46% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( -0.05) | 47.58% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( -0.05) | 69.78% ( 0.05) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( -0.03) | 23.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.52% ( -0.05) | 57.48% ( 0.05) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.02) | 26.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.03) | 61.84% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |