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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Aston Villa

Beaten just three times in 23 home games last season, albeit at Championship level, Bournemouth will be no pushovers at their own headquarters - but there is a gulf in quality between these two squads. Since returning to the top-flight themselves three years ago, Villa have built a setup worthy of the top half, and can use their superior firepower to take three points back to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
27.63% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.73% (0.343 0.34) 47.63% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-1.684 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-1.966 -1.97)47.66% (1.974 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.842 -1.84)69.86% (1.85 1.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-1.558 -1.56)31.23% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-1.856 -1.86)67.57% (1.864 1.86)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.616 -0.62)20.06% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-1.007 -1.01)52.29% (1.014 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 27.63%
    Aston Villa 47.63%
    Draw 24.73%
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.499 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.616 0.62)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.349 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Bournemouth
15.3%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
72.7%
300
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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