Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 33.17% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
43.06% ( -0.15) | 23.76% ( 0.02) | 33.17% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.51% ( -0.04) | 40.49% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.13% ( -0.04) | 62.87% ( 0.04) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( -0.08) | 19.1% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% ( -0.13) | 50.72% ( 0.13) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( 0.05) | 23.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.75% ( 0.08) | 58.24% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.06% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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