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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Estoril

Boavista
2 - 1
Estoril

Sasso (15'), Bozenik (29')
Makouta (48'), Perez (61'), Lourenco (85'), Camara (87'), Goncalves (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marques (54')
Ndiaye (17'), Seabra (18'), Zanocelo (70'), Carlos (86'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Boavista 1-2 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia have turned a corner in recent weeks and will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. Boavista have failed to win their last seven games at the Estadio do Bessa and we see them struggling for results in front of their home supporters once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
46.43% (0.157 0.16) 24.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.2% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.12 -0.12)45.11% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.116 -0.12)67.46% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.029999999999994 0.03)51.45% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)28.78% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)64.63% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 46.43%
    Estoril Praia 29.2%
    Draw 24.36%
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.43%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Boavista vs Estoril

Boavista
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Estoril Praia
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Estoril
1-2
Boavista
Marques (34')
Marques (70'), Alvaro (84'), Gomes (85')
Malheiro (4'), Morais (41')
Makouta (52'), Petit (66+66')
May 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Mangas (50')
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Njie (4')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Estoril
2-3
Boavista
Vital (6'), Acevedo (54' pen.)
Gamboa (60'), Coly (88')
Musa (20'), Abascal (49'), Santos (85')
Santos (51'), Njie (66'), Sauer (88'), Porozo (89')
Sep 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 7
Boavista
1-1
Estoril
Sauer (24' pen.)
Gorre (45+2'), Ferreira (76'), Beiranvand (90+6')
Franco (71')
Chiquinho (68'), Joaozinho (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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