Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
19.31% ( -0.03) | 22.02% ( -0.02) | 58.67% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0.05) | 44.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0.05) | 66.85% ( -0.05) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% ( 0) | 36.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% ( 0) | 73.69% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% ( 0.04) | 14.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( 0.06) | 43.14% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.31% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |