Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
46.79% ( 0.3) | 26.16% ( -0.4) | 27.05% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( 1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.17% ( 1.56) | 53.82% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 1.29) | 75.29% ( -1.3) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% ( 0.81) | 22.98% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.22% ( 1.18) | 56.78% ( -1.18) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.05% ( 0.92) | 34.94% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.31% ( 0.96) | 71.69% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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