Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 33.03% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.87%).
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.8% ( -5.76) | 25.17% ( 0.92) | 33.03% ( 4.84) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( -1.87) | 47.04% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.71% ( -1.77) | 69.28% ( 1.77) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% ( -3.33) | 22.43% ( 3.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.04% ( -5.24) | 55.96% ( 5.23) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( 2.3) | 27.22% ( -2.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( 2.9) | 62.64% ( -2.9) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.87) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.5) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.5) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 1.06) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.78) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.97) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.54) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.23) Other @ 3% Total : 33.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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