Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
50.07% ( -0.41) | 24.81% ( 0.12) | 25.11% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% ( -0.27) | 49.85% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% ( -0.24) | 71.85% ( 0.24) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( -0.27) | 19.92% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.93% ( -0.44) | 52.06% ( 0.44) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.58% ( 0.09) | 34.41% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.87% ( 0.1) | 71.12% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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