Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.18% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( 0.25) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.81) | 50.7% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.72) | 72.6% ( 0.72) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.35% ( -0.36) | 45.65% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.55% ( -0.28) | 81.45% ( 0.28) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( -0.72) | 44.47% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.18% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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