Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.10pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica
Gorica0 - 2Rijeka
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and HNK Rijeka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 4 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, February 4 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
Result | ||
Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
17.15% ( 0.03) | 22.45% ( 0.06) | 60.4% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% ( -0.18) | 49.56% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.41% ( -0.16) | 71.58% ( 0.16) |
Gorica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% ( -0.06) | 42.37% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% ( -0.05) | 78.76% ( 0.05) |
HNK Rijeka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% ( -0.09) | 15.99% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.7% ( -0.17) | 45.29% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Gorica 17.15%
HNK Rijeka 60.38%
Draw 22.44%
Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 60.38% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-08 02:58:05
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 67 | 30 | 37 | 82 |
2 | HNK RijekaRijeka | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 74 |
3 | Hajduk Split | 36 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 68 |
4 | Osijek | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 57 |
5 | NK Lokomotiva | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 51 |
6 | NK VarazdinVarazdin | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
7 | GoricaGorica | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
8 | NK Istra 1961Istra 1961 | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 41 |
9 | Slaven Koprivnica | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 33 |
R | Rudes | 36 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 85 | -63 | 9 |
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