Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
33.43% ( 0.05) | 25.45% ( 0.02) | 41.13% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% ( -0.06) | 48.16% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% ( -0.06) | 70.32% ( 0.06) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0) | 27.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% ( 0) | 63.02% ( -0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.07) | 23.25% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.09) | 57.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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