Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.93% ( -1.92) | 23.29% ( 0.22) | 31.78% ( 1.7) |
Both teams to score 62.61% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.23% ( -0.21) | 38.77% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.92% ( -0.22) | 61.07% ( 0.22) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.36% ( -0.83) | 17.64% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.76% ( -1.45) | 48.24% ( 1.45) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% ( 0.93) | 23.98% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 1.31) | 58.22% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.93% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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