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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Monza

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CagliariDrawMonza
45.43% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.56% (0.41 0.41) 29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-1.335 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.731 -1.73)50.35% (1.735 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-1.554 -1.55)72.29% (1.558 1.56)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.886 -0.89)22.14% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-1.356 -1.36)55.52% (1.36 1.36)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)31.6% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-1.078 -1.08)68.01% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.43%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 25.56%
CagliariDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari
33.9%
Draw
33.9%
Monza
32.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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