Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Juventus |
28.73% ( -0.2) | 26.27% ( 0.29) | 45% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% ( -1.27) | 53.34% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% ( -1.09) | 74.88% ( 1.08) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.82) | 33.37% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.91) | 69.99% ( 0.91) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.6) | 23.62% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.86) | 57.71% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.73% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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