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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

While no team has won more home matches in this season's Serie A than Inter, their visitors boast the third-best away record in Italy's top flight. It may be just one goal that splits the sides, then, but the hosts' momentum is still building whereas Atalanta are a more hit-and-miss proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
58.27% (0.067 0.07) 23.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 18.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.275 -0.27)52.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.238 -0.24)74.29% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)17.82% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.133 -0.13)48.56% (0.132 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (-0.286 -0.29)43.01% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (-0.242 -0.24)79.3% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 58.27%
    Atalanta BC 18.13%
    Draw 23.59%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.9%
Draw
14.1%
Atalanta BC
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Onana (90+4'), Correa (90+1')

Soppy (90')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Skriniar (54')
Conte (12')

Romero (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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