Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
41.93% ( -0) | 27.58% | 30.49% |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% ( -0) | 57.57% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% | 78.35% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0) | 62.46% ( 0) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% | 34.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% | 70.97% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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