Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
52.85% ( -0.6) | 25.6% ( 0.17) | 21.55% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 46.3% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.94% ( -0.2) | 56.06% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% ( -0.16) | 77.13% ( 0.16) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -0.33) | 21.25% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% ( -0.51) | 54.17% ( 0.51) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.79% ( 0.34) | 41.21% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.26% ( 0.3) | 77.74% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.85% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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