Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
Malatya Inonu Stadium
We said: Yeni Malatyaspor 0-3 Fenerbahce
The form book is clearly weighted in Fenerbahce's favour, with one team dominating matches at the upper end of the table, while the other has remained winless for months.
While Champions League qualification is effectively sealed already for Fenerbahce, expect the Yellow Canaries to finish the season in fine fashion with a comfortable win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result |
| Yeni Malatyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
13.18% ( 0.73) | 18.24% ( 0.62) | 68.58% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% |
| 61% ( -1.1) | 39% ( 1.11) |
| 38.68% ( -1.17) | 61.32% ( 1.17) |
| 58.71% ( 0.41) | 41.29% ( -0.41) |
