MX23RW : Saturday, June 8 20:50:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
2 - 2
Nacional

Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
De Los Santos (26'), Veron (62'), Gorocito (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Martinez (26'), Lozano (28'), Rodriguez (90'), Polenta (90+3'), Rodriguez (90+6'), Lozano (90+9')
Rodriguez (90+8')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
26.2% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 27.75% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 46.04% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.129 0.13)60.07% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.097999999999999 0.1)80.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)39.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.012 0.01)75.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (0.11799999999999 0.12)26.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (0.159 0.16)61.17% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 26.2%
    Nacional 46.04%
    Draw 27.75%
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.2%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 13.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Racing
Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Alaniz (72')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
1-1
Nacional
Sosa (77')
Rodriguez (65'), Arismendi (90')
Ocampo (87')
Cotugno (53'), Pereira (60')
Sep 1, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Racing
Garcia (52')
Rolin (89'), Oliva (94')

Ramos (76'), Malan (82'), Lacoste (95')
May 31, 2018 12am
Nacional
5-0
Racing
Erramuspe (7'), Bergessio (22'), Aguiar (43'), Coelho (74'), Viudez (82')
Bergessio (28'), Zunino (85')

Lacoste (28'), Romero (38')
Romero (45'), Lacoste (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
2River PlateRiver Plate00000000
3PenarolPenarol00000000
4Montevideo WanderersWanderers00000000
5ProgresoProgreso00000000
6Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado00000000
7Defensor SportingDefensor00000000
8FenixFenix100112-10
Group 2
1Miramar Misiones11001013
2Cerro Largo00000000
3CerroCerro00000000
4NacionalNacional00000000
5Boston RiverBoston River00000000
6Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
7DanubioDanubio00000000
8LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!