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World Cup
Nepal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Nepal
vs.
UAE

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Nepal and United Arab Emirates.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Bahrain 3-0 Nepal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Yemen 0-3 UAE
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Nepal has a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Nepal win it is 1-0 (4.89%).

Result
NepalDrawUnited Arab Emirates
13.37% (-0.086 -0.09) 20.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 66.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 45.76% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-0.206 -0.21)48.41% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.189 -0.19)70.55% (0.191 0.19)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)46.92% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (-0.199 -0.2)82.43% (0.202 0.2)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)13.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)41.08% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 13.37%
    United Arab Emirates 66.15%
    Draw 20.46%
NepalDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.37%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 12.81% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 12.69% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 8.39% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 66.15%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 3.45pm
Second Round
UAE
4-0
Nepal
Alhammadi (11'), Mabkhout (36' pen., 44'), Lima (45+1')

Shrestha (35'), Chaudhary (47')
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