Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
30.37% ( -0.08) | 21.99% ( -0.02) | 47.64% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 66.73% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.95% ( 0.04) | 33.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.22% ( 0.04) | 54.78% ( -0.05) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -0.03) | 22% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( -0.04) | 55.32% ( 0.04) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.55% ( 0.05) | 14.45% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.6% ( 0.09) | 42.4% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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