Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
34.75% ( -0.25) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 42.35% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 65.24% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.21% ( -0.2) | 35.79% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.14% ( -0.22) | 57.86% ( 0.23) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -0.22) | 20.94% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( -0.35) | 53.68% ( 0.35) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( 0.02) | 17.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( 0.02) | 47.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.1% Total : 42.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |