Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 21.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.