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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 15, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Western Sydney
2 - 1
Victory

Borrello (45+1'), Layouni (81')
Simmons (51'), Ninkovic (53'), Nieuwenhof (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Velupillay (56')
Popovic (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 0-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Melbourne Victory

 Melbourne Victory have lost their last three away meetings with Western Sydney Wanderers and after losing seven of their last eight away games in the A-League, we think that they will leave CommBank Stadium empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
41.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 24.21% (0.103 0.1) 34.46% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.26% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.514 -0.51)42.26% (0.515 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.34% (-0.518 -0.52)64.66% (0.518 0.52)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)20.61% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)53.15% (0.353 0.35)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)24.1% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.417 -0.42)58.39% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 41.33%
    Melbourne Victory 34.46%
    Draw 24.21%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Victory

Western Sydney Wanderers
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Melbourne Victory
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
Victory
0-1
Western Sydney

Broxham (20')
Mrcela (41')
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Sydney
Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')
Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Russell (55'), Petratos (80' pen.)
Cancar (89'), Margush (90+4')

Kelava (80')
Apr 23, 2021 10.05am
Victory
5-4
Western Sydney
Folami (14', 45+3'), Roux (28'), Ryan (63'), Butterfield (73')
McManaman (55'), Gestede (56'), Kruse (76'), Acton (90+6')
Troisi (31'), Dorrans (76' pen.), Duke (86'), Muller (88')
McGowan (45+2'), Ziegler (90')
Feb 10, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Dorrans (72' pen.), Yeboah (88')
Dorrans (22')

Gestede (68'), Kirdar (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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