Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mane (12' pen., 22', 60' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Next Game: Benin vs. RwandaSunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Senegal 2-0 Benin
Senegal head into the qualifiers with a star-studded squad and are clear favourites to come away with the desired results. While we expect Benin to put up a fight, the Lions of Teranga have lost just once since October 2020 and we are backing them to cruise to all three points on home turf this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result |
Senegal | Draw | Benin |
66.3% ( -0) | 21.83% ( -0) | 11.87% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 37.98% ( 0.02) |