African Nations Championship | Semi-Finals
Jan 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
African Nations Championship
African Nations Championship
We said: Senegal 2-1 Madagascar
Senegal have the upper hand judging by their previous matchups against Madagascar, and they will fancy themselves to carry the day once again. While we see Madagascar putting up a decent fight, we are tipping Senegal to just about emerge triumphant.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 7.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.03%) and 3-0 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.38%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result |
| Senegal | Draw | Madagascar |
73.13% ( 0.31) | 19.73% ( -0.03) | 7.14% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 27.92% ( -0.98) |
