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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Celtic logo

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 0
Celtic

Solbakken (9'), Vetlesen (69')
Sampsted (39'), Wembangomo (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGregor (60'), Scales (64')

Preview: Bodo/Glimt vs. Celtic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to turn around a two-goal deficit, Celtic will travel to Norway to face Bodo/Glimt for the second leg of their Europa Conference League playoff tie on Thursday night.

The hosts won 3-1 at Parkhead last week and will be looking to reach the last 16 in European competition for the first time for over 40 years.


Match preview

Bodo/Glimt's Amahl Pellegrino celebrates scoring their second goal on February 17, 2022© Reuters

After 66 days without competitive football, following the conclusion of the 2021 Norwegian top-flight season in mid-December, Bodo/Glimt showed no signs of rustiness against Celtic as they recorded a famous victory in Glasgow last week.

Runar Espejord opened the scoring in the sixth minute before Amahl Pellegrino and Hugo Vetlesen found the net either side of a header from Celtic's Daizen Maeda to maintain their unbeaten run in this year's competition.

Bodo/Glimt are now one step closer to reaching the last 16 in European competition for just the second time in their history, last doing so back in the 1978-79 Cup Winners' Cup when they lost 7-1 on aggregate to Inter Milan.

The Norwegian champions are now preparing to host a British team in Europe for the very first time at the Aspmyra Stadion, where they boast a 100% record from their six Europa Conference League games this season, including qualifiers.

Head coach Kjetil Knutsen, who had been linked with the Aberdeen vacancy, will be hoping his side can deliver once again and create history in front of their own supporters.

Celtic's Georgios Giakoumakis celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 20, 2022© Reuters

For the first time since November 25, Celtic tasted defeat when they were beaten by Bodo/Glimt in the first leg, ending a 17-game unbeaten run across all competitions.

Ange Postecoglou praised the Norwegian outfit after the game and despite expressing his disappointment for his own team's performance, the Australian believes there is still an opportunity for the Hoops to turn the tie around and reach the last 16.

The Hoops do, however, face an uphill battle to remain in Europe after being eliminated from their last eight major European knockout ties after losing the first leg.

Since last week's defeat, Celtic have moved three points clear at the top of the Scottish Premiership, after winning 3-2 at home against Dundee, courtesy of a Giorgos Giakoumakis hat-trick which included an 86th-minute winner.

Celtic have now scored 101 goals across all competitions this season, including 60 strikes in the league, four more than Rangers and at least 22 more than any other team in the division.

The Hoops will need to score at least three goals if they are to beat Bodo/Glimt on aggregate in midweek as they aim reach the last 16 of a European competition for the first time since 2012-13.

Bodo/Glimt Europa Conference League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Bodo/Glimt form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Celtic Europa Conference League form:
  • L

Celtic form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Celtic's Reo Hatate celebrates scoring their first goal with Matt O'Riley on January 26, 2022© Reuters

Bodo/Glimt boss Knutsen is expected to stick with a 4-3-3 formation, with either Brice Wembangomo or Morten Konradsen to start at left-back, joining Alfons Sampsted, Brede Moe and Marius Hoibraten in the back four.

The hosts will, however, be without first-choice goalkeeper Nikita Khaikin after he picked up his third booking of the competition for time wasting in the first leg, so Joshua Smits is set to start between the sticks.

Ola Solbakken – who has scored four goals so far in the competition, two behind top scorer Tammy Abraham of Roma – is set to start on the right side on an attacking front three, with Pellegrino on the left flank and Espejord starting down the middle.

As for Celtic, Kyogo Furuhashi, David Turnbull and Albian Ajeti and Mikey Johnston are all sidelined with hamstring injuries.

Reo Hatate began on the bench for the first leg, but the Japanese January signing is set to return to the first XI on Thursday, joining Callum McGregor and Matt O'Riley in centre-midfield.

After scoring a hat-trick last weekend, Giakoumakis will most likely keep his place up front ahead of Daizen Maeda, who started in the first leg, and the Greek striker could begin in attack with wingers Liel Abada and Jota.

Bodo/Glimt possible starting lineup:
Smits; Sampsted, Moe, Hoibraten, Wembangomo; Saltnes, Hagen, Vetlesen; Solbakken, Esperjord, Pellegrino

Celtic possible starting lineup:
Hart; Juranovic, Carter-Vickers, Starfelt, Taylor; Hatate, McGregor, O'Riley; Abada, Giakoumakis, Jota


SM words green background

We say: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Celtic (Bodo/Glimt to win 4-3 on aggregate)

Despite their first-leg defeat, Celtic will be hungry for success on Thursday and will be the favourites to win the second leg.

However, Bodo/Glimt are set to take a more cautious approach on home soil and may just do enough to progress to the last 16 on aggregate.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Celtic

Bodo/Glimt
49.5%
Draw
8.9%
Celtic
41.6%
101
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