MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 06:36:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Freiburg

Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Lens
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Freiburg

Freiburg will be full of confidence after Thursday's European outing, and we think that they will follow that result with a narrow win over an Augsburg side that has lost two of their previous three home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
37.67% (-1 -1) 24.66% (0.321 0.32) 37.67% (0.68 0.68)
Both teams to score 59% (-1.16 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-1.506 -1.51)44.07% (1.506 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-1.484 -1.48)66.45% (1.484 1.48)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-1.18 -1.18)23.19% (1.18 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-1.755 -1.76)57.08% (1.755 1.76)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)23.19% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-0.477 -0.48)57.08% (0.47600000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 37.67%
    Freiburg 37.67%
    Draw 24.66%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.345 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.433 0.43)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
39.6%
Draw
24.5%
Freiburg
35.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
16Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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