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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Schalke

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Schalke

Diaby (38'), Frimpong (41', 53'), Paulinho (90')
Hincapie (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Yoshida (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-3 Augsburg
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Schalke 04

We expect Leverkusen to put their recent woes behind them to some extent by claiming a second league win of the season on Saturday, especially with a new manager to impress. Schalke look set for a long, difficult season ahead of them and there is little doubting the hosts' superiority in terms of their individual abilities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
60.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 20.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)38.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.002999999999993 -0)60.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)38.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63%33.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.00099999999999767 0)69.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.1%
    Schalke 04 19.24%
    Draw 20.65%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.24%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Schalke

Bayer Leverkusen
85.1%
Draw
6.8%
Schalke 04
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Schalke
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Uth (11'), Hoppe (72')
Thiaw (10' og.), Baumgartlinger (67'), Schick (78')
Dragovic (58'), Tah (59'), Sinkgraven (71')
Dec 7, 2019 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Schalke
Alario (15', 81')
Wendell (43'), Alario (83')
Raman (82')
Caligiuri (29'), Raman (53')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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