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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
SV Darmstadt

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Okoh Boniface (21', 61'), Palacios (49'), Hofmann (67'), Hlozek (83')
Tah (24'), Palacios (26'), Xhaka (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vilhelmsson (24')
Vilhelmsson (53'), Klarer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98

Despite losing Diaby, Leverkusen have scored six goals across their opening two victories, and they will fancy their chances of reaching double figures in the goals-scored column this weekend. Darmstadt conceded four goals at home to Union Berlin despite having an extra player for the majority of the match, so they are seriously up against it to avoid receiving a beating from Alonso's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSV Darmstadt 98
44.76% (-0.184 -0.18) 25.81% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 29.43% (0.167 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)22.79% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (-0.13 -0.13)56.5% (0.131 0.13)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (0.121 0.12)31.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (0.137 0.14)68.14% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.76%
    SV Darmstadt 98 29.43%
    Draw 25.8%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSV Darmstadt 98
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs SV Darmstadt 98

Bayer Leverkusen
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
SV Darmstadt 98
0.0%
54
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2017 7pm
Nov 5, 2016 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
3-2
SV Darmstadt 98
Calhanoglu (32'), Brandt (56'), Aranguiz (69')
Colak (47'), Vrancic (85')
Guwara (91')
Feb 13, 2016 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Wagner (28')
Gondorf (37'), Rosenthal (69'), Sulu (84'), Heller (85'), Niemeyer (88'), Rausch (92')
Sulu (62' og.), Brandt (77')
Wendell (23'), Ramalho (90'), Calhanoglu (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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