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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
81.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 11.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 7.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.01% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)22.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.76% (-0.315 -0.31)42.24% (0.319 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)4.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.48% (-0.179 -0.18)17.51% (0.183 0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.111 -0.11)41.2% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)77.73% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.66%
    Heidenheim 7.04%
    Draw 11.29%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 11.29%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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