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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
71.13% | 17.04% | 11.83% |
Both teams to score 52.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% | 36.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.13% | 58.87% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.86% | 9.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69% | 31% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.08% | 41.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.64% | 78.36% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 5.23% 4-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.41% Total : 71.13% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.04% | 1-2 @ 3.46% 0-1 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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