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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
9.84% | 15.5% | 74.66% |
Both teams to score 51.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.93% | 35.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.92% | 57.07% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% | 44.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% | 80.44% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.04% | 7.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.91% | 28.08% |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.87% 2-0 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.85% Total : 9.84% | 1-1 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 3.73% 0-0 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.5% | 0-2 @ 11.31% 0-3 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 7.76% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 3.06% 1-5 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-6 @ 1.29% 1-6 @ 1.05% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.92% Total : 74.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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