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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Bayern logo

Frankfurt
5 - 1
Bayern

Marmoush (12'), Ebimbe (31', 50'), Larsson (36'), Knauff (60')
Marmoush (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kimmich (44')
Min-jae (23'), Sane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Munich

Frankfurt's form has fallen off a cliff at the worst possible moment in terms of facing Germany's biggest club and strongest team. Only Freiburg and the bottom eight teams have scored fewer goals than Toppmoller's side in the Bundesliga so far this season, so we can envisage them blanking on Saturday. The same can certainly not be said for Bayern, who are outscoring every other side in Germany once again. Their defensive record of nine goals conceded in 12 games is also the best record, and they will be confident of moving top of the table with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 0-1 (6.59%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
24.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.14% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.56% (0.012 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)25.56% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)60.42% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.1%
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 24.71%
    Bayern Munich 54.27%
    Draw 21.01%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.71%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 4.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-5 @ 1.44%
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.06%
2-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.27%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Bayern

Eintracht Frankfurt
17.3%
Draw
5.8%
Bayern Munich
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-1
Frankfurt
Sane (34')
Kolo (69')
Aug 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Frankfurt
1-6
Bayern
Kolo (64')
N'Dicka (59'), Kostic (71')
Kimmich (5'), Pavard (11'), Mane (29'), Musiala (35', 83'), Gnabry (43')
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Frankfurt
0-1
Bayern

Lenz (32')
Sane (71')
Hernandez (32'), Kimmich (64')
Oct 3, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
1-2
Frankfurt
Goretzka (29')
Davies (50'), Upamecano (77')
Hinteregger (32'), Kostic (83')
Petter Hauge (78')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Frankfurt
2-1
Bayern
Kamada (12'), Younes (31')
Rode (56'), N'Dicka (90+2')
Lewandowski (53')
Flick (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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