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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
41.71% ( -0.57) | 23.19% ( 0.52) | 35.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.21% ( -2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.83% ( -2.61) | 37.17% ( 2.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.63% ( -2.87) | 59.37% ( 2.87) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -1.31) | 18.31% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( -2.26) | 49.4% ( 2.26) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( -1.17) | 21.4% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% ( -1.83) | 54.39% ( 1.83) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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