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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
22.29% | 21.79% | 55.92% |
Both teams to score 59.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% | 31.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% | 67.47% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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