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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
32.43% ( 0.02) | 25.04% ( -0) | 42.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% ( 0.03) | 46.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% ( 0.03) | 68.91% ( -0.03) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 0.03) | 27.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 0.04) | 62.87% ( -0.04) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.01) | 21.91% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.01) | 55.18% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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