MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 09:07:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
33.21% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 42.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.175 -0.18)40.86% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.178 -0.18)63.25% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.158 -0.16)24.15% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.226 -0.23)58.46% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.21%
    Mainz 05 42.94%
    Draw 23.84%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
39.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mainz 05
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')
Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!