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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

An entertaining yet closely-fought contest is set to be in store between Leipzig and Leverkusen, who have both won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine meetings against one another. Leverkusen have already dropped points in two games against fellow top-four teams this term, and Leipzig are certainly no pushovers on their day, but we believe that Alonso's side will ultimately find a way to claim maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
37.25% (-0.755 -0.76) 24.42% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 38.33% (0.83 0.83)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (0.35 0.35)42.92% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (0.349 0.35)65.33% (-0.345 -0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)22.89% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (-0.343 -0.34)56.65% (0.345 0.34)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.583 0.58)22.34% (-0.582 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.864 0.86)55.82% (-0.861 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 37.25%
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.33%
    Draw 24.42%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.33%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
26.9%
Draw
17.6%
Bayer Leverkusen
55.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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