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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
6 - 0
FC Koln

Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

Koln's maiden victory last weekend has given them a timely boost heading into a tricky encounter with Leipzig, but the Billy Goats will be regarded as the underdogs on Saturday. Die Roten Bullen have been frustrated by Koln in recent meetings, but we believe that their in-form attackers will fire them to a comfortable victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
56% (0.254 0.25) 21.64% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.36% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)38.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.72% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (0.174 0.17)40.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)30.64% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.18 -0.18)66.88% (0.184 0.18)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 56%
    FC Koln 22.36%
    Draw 21.64%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
98.5%
Draw
1.5%
FC Koln
0.0%
67
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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