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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Schalke

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Schalke

Laimer (10'), Nkunku (19', 90+4'), Poulsen (82')
Rose (21'), Haidara (41'), Nkunku (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kaminski (28'), Orban (49' og.)
Brunner (20'), Polter (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Leipzig are guaranteed to finish third regardless of their result against Schalke, Rose will still want his players to end their league campaign on a high ahead of taking on Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal final next weekend. Schalke have done well to stay alive heading into the final day of the season given their disastrous form earlier in the campaign, but we expect an instant return to the second tier to be confirmed with a defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
67.99% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08) 18.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 13.9% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (0.1 0.1)36.55% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (0.11 0.11)58.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (0.168 0.17)38.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (0.158 0.16)75.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.99%
    Schalke 04 13.9%
    Draw 18.11%
RB LeipzigDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 67.99%
1-1 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 13.9%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Schalke

RB Leipzig
73.5%
Draw
16.3%
Schalke 04
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Schalke
1-6
RB Leipzig
Kozuki (56')
Frey (79')
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')
Kampl (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 20
Schalke
0-3
RB Leipzig

Mascarell (27'), Kolasinac (69')
Mukiele (45+3'), Sabitzer (73'), Orban (87')
Sabitzer (82')
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
4-0
Schalke
Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Schalke
0-5
RB Leipzig

Raman (3'), Harit (43')
Sabitzer (1'), Werner (61'), Halstenberg (68'), Angelino (80'), Forsberg (89')
Laimer (5'), Werner (57'), Upamecano (78')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
1-3
Schalke
Forsberg (83')
Halstenberg (45')
Sane (29'), Harit (43' pen.), Matondo (58')
Caligiuri (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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