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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Liverpool logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Liverpool

Benzema (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Klopp (73'), Tsimikas (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 6-2 aggregate success over Liverpool.

Team News

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp alters his formation to include four attackers for the second leg of their Champions League last-16 clash with Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawLiverpool
47.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.94% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.41% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)16.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 47.64%
    Liverpool 29.41%
    Draw 22.94%
Real MadridDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Liverpool

Real Madrid
62.0%
Draw
8.9%
Liverpool
29.0%
582
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Liverpool
2-5
Real Madrid
Nunez (4'), Salah (14')
Elliott (90+3')
Junior (21', 36'), Militao (47'), Benzema (55', 67')
Junior (60')
May 28, 2022 8.36pm
Final
Liverpool
0-1
Real Madrid

Fabinho (62')
Junior (59')
Apr 14, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Liverpool
0-0
Real Madrid

Robertson (25'), Phillips (59')

Casemiro (25')
> Match Report
Apr 6, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Liverpool
Junior (27', 65'), Asensio (36')
Vazquez (49')
Salah (51')
Mane (39'), Alcantara (56'), Alexander-Arnold (83')
May 26, 2018 7.45pm
Final
Real Madrid
3-1
Liverpool
> Match Report
Build-up
Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Real Madrid handed double fitness boost for Liverpool clash
Real Madrid welcome Karim Benzema and Ferland Mendy back into their squad for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Liverpool.
Mar 15, 14:40
 Stefan Bajcetic warms up for Liverpool on January 21, 2023
Jurgen Klopp rules Stefan Bajcetic out of Real Madrid clash
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reveals that Stefan Bajcetic will miss Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid due to an adductor injury.
Mar 14, 19:41
 Liverpool captain Jordan Henderson on October 9, 2022
Jordan Henderson 'ruled out of Real Madrid match with illness'
Liverpool's Jordan Henderson is reportedly set to miss the club's Champions League clash with Real Madrid on Wednesday night due to illness.
Mar 14, 19:16
 Liverpool players look dejected on February 21, 2023
Liverpool out to avoid worst-ever European aggregate defeat
Liverpool are looking to avoid setting a new unwanted club record for the heaviest aggregate defeat in Europe when they face Real Madrid on Wednesday.
Mar 14, 16:17
 Stefan Bajcetic warms up for Liverpool on January 21, 2023
Henderson, Bajcetic miss Liverpool training ahead of Real Madrid clash
Jordan Henderson and Stefan Bajcetic are absent from Liverpool training ahead of the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie with Real Madrid on Wednesday.
Mar 14, 13:38
 Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring against Liverpool on February 21, 2023
Champions League: Real Madrid vs. Liverpool head-to-head record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Real Madrid and Liverpool's head-to-head record ahead of Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg.
Mar 13, 11:00
 Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring for Liverpool against Manchester United on March 5, 2023
How Liverpool could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Real Madrid.
Mar 13, 08:10
 France and Real Madrid striker Karim Benzema trains on November 19, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Liverpool
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Liverpool.
Mar 13, 07:41
 Luis Diaz in action for Liverpool on September 13, 2022
Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
Mar 12, 10:25
 David Alaba comes off injured for Real Madrid on February 21, 2023
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Liverpool
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Liverpool.
Mar 12, 10:14
 Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Carlo Ancelotti provides Karim Benzema injury update ahead of Liverpool clash
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti says that Karim Benzema will be fit for next week's Champions League last-16 second leg with Liverpool.
Mar 10, 15:20
 Karim Benzema in action for Real Madrid on October 5, 2022
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema doubtful for Liverpool clash?
Real Madrid's Karim Benzema emerges as a doubt for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 second leg against Liverpool due to an ankle injury.
Mar 9, 16:07
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