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Champions League header

Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Real Madrid logo

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Zubkov (46')
Konoplya (16'), Bondarenko (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rudiger (90+5')
Militao (85'), Kroos (90')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League game with Shakhtar Donetsk.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Real Madrid

 Shakhtar were impressive in the clash at Bernabeu last week and will fancy their chances of causing problems on Tuesday night. Ancelotti is set to make some changes for this contest, but we are still expecting the European champions to be too strong for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.32%) and 0-3 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawReal Madrid
11.43% (0.039 0.04) 23.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 65.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Both teams to score 34.18% (0.197 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (0.206 0.21)61.31% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (0.154 0.15)81.23% (-0.155 -0.16)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.89% (0.2 0.2)58.11% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.34% (0.109 0.11)89.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.078000000000003 0.08)18.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.133 0.13)49.54% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 11.43%
    Real Madrid 65.54%
    Draw 23.02%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 11.43%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 18.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 15.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.54%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Real Madrid

Shakhtar Donetsk
11.5%
Draw
11.8%
Real Madrid
76.7%
331
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Group F
Real Madrid
2-1
Shakhtar
Rodrygo (13'), Junior (28')
Zubkov (39')
Bondar (55')
Nov 3, 2021 5.45pm
Group D
Real Madrid
2-1
Shakhtar
Benzema (14', 61')
Mendy (39'), Casemiro (63')
Fernando (39')
De Zerbi (55'), Dentinho (90+3')
Oct 19, 2021 8pm
Group D
Shakhtar
0-5
Real Madrid

Antonio (47')
Krivtsov (37' og.), Junior (51', 56'), Rodrygo (65'), Benzema (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2020 5.55pm
Group B
Shakhtar
2-0
Real Madrid
Dentinho (57'), Solomon (82')

Varane (14')
Oct 21, 2020 5.55pm
Group B
Real Madrid
2-3
Shakhtar
Modric (54'), Junior (59')
Asensio (34'), Militao (87')
Tete (29'), Varane (33' og.), Solomon (42')
Korniienko (8'), Bondar (83')
rhs 2.0
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