MX23RW : Friday, May 10 21:39:43| >> :60:3406:3406:
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Celtic logo

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Celtic

Mudryk (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bondarenko (10' og.)
Jenz (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 0-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Celtic

We expect to see a reaction from the visitors, who produced some excellent football at times despite ultimately falling short against Real Madrid. This match is essentially being played on neutral territory, which could help Postecoglou's side settle down and play their usual slick style of play, especially with Shakhtar unlikely to reproduce yet another remarkable performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawCeltic
18.24% (-0.1 -0.1) 23.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 58.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.6% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.227 -0.23)50.38% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (-0.2 -0.2)72.32% (0.199 0.2)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (-0.25 -0.25)41.55% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.218 -0.22)78.04% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.85% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)46.86% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 18.24%
    Celtic 58.69%
    Draw 23.06%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.24%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.1% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.69%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Celtic

Shakhtar Donetsk
47.6%
Draw
13.2%
Celtic
39.2%
431
rhs 2.0
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