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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sheffield United logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Sheff Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)

Egan (28'), Bogle (59'), Ndiaye (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 1-1 Sheffield United

A repeat of the 5-2 humiliation would not go amiss for those in red and white, who may arguably be taking on Burnley at the perfect time as the Lancashire celebrations remain in full swing. Kompany will not allow a shred of complacency to creep in from his players, though, and we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this headline matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
51.09% (0.458 0.46) 25.49% (0.11 0.11) 23.42% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.899 -0.9)53.93% (0.904 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.759 -0.76)75.38% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.17 -0.17)21.13% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.268 -0.27)53.98% (0.272 0.27)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-1.021 -1.02)38.17% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.996 -1)74.93% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 51.08%
    Sheffield United 23.42%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.08%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.42%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sheff Utd

Burnley
60.3%
Draw
16.4%
Sheffield United
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Sheff Utd
5-2
Burnley
Ndiaye (30'), McBurnie (48', 74'), Robinson (64'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Stevens (26')
Benson (17', 45')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Sheff Utd
Mee (32')
Lowton (45+2')

Stevens (72'), Burke (90+1')
Sep 17, 2020 5.30pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-1
Sheff Utd
Burnley win 5-4 on penalties
Vydra (67')
McGoldrick (4')
Jagielka (68'), Ampadu (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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