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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 6.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (12.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
78.24% ( -0.04) | 15.04% ( 0.02) | 6.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 37.85% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( -0.08) | 44.44% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( -0.08) | 66.81% ( 0.07) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% ( -0.03) | 9.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.41% ( -0.07) | 31.59% ( 0.06) |
Huddersfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.77% ( -0.03) | 58.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.28% ( -0.01) | 89.71% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Huddersfield Town |
2-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 8.27% 4-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.04% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 6.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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