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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
West Brom logo

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.46% (1.475 1.48) 24.47% (0.161 0.16) 40.07% (-1.631 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)43.31% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.454 -0.45)65.71% (0.459 0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.617 0.62)24.03% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.87 0.87)58.29% (-0.865 -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.961 -0.96)21.65% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-1.497 -1.5)54.78% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.46%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
    Draw 24.47%
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Leeds vs West Brom

Leeds United
71.0%
Draw
15.9%
West Bromwich Albion
13.0%
69
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Leeds
4-0
West Brom
Hernandez (1'), Bamford (28', 63'), Alioski (92')

Barry (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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