MX23RW : Friday, May 17 20:00:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
57.01% (1.289 1.29) 23.3% (-0.72 -0.72) 19.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 50.29% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (2.155 2.16)49.38% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (1.907 1.91)71.42% (-1.909 -1.91)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (1.259 1.26)17.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (2.179 2.18)47.29% (-2.182 -2.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.625 0.63)39.34% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.577 0.58)76.04% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 57%
    Cardiff City 19.69%
    Draw 23.3%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.612 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
80.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cardiff City
8.3%
120
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!