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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City

Middlesbrough have found their rhythm in recent matches and should be confident of easing past Swansea at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Swans' season is petering out massively, so we are envisaging a poor performance and defeat for the visitors on Teesside during this Championship clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
49.79% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)43.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)17.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.79%
    Swansea City 26.56%
    Draw 23.65%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Swansea City
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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