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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
54.28% ( -3.15) | 21.58% ( 1.1) | 24.13% ( 2.06) |
Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.71% ( -2.87) | 36.28% ( 2.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.59% ( -3.21) | 58.41% ( 3.22) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( -1.85) | 13.46% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( -3.85) | 40.45% ( 3.85) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% ( 0.05) | 27.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% ( 0.07) | 63.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.44) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.6% Total : 24.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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